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Michael Banner
School of Mathematics, The University of New South Wales
Forecasting breaking waves during storms
Wednesday 13th, October 14:05-14:55pm,
Carslaw Lecture Theatre 273.
In the context of maritime enterprises such as offshore engineering
and coastal recreation, the most dangerous waves usually occur during
severe storms, including hurricanes. These hazardous and potentially
destructive conditions are associated primarily with breaking dominant
wind waves, yet present sea state prediction models fail to provide
information on the expected rate of occurrence and severity of such
breaking events.
This contribution describes our ongoing effort to address this need,
through implementation of recent new insight into parameterizing wave
breaking in the framework of spectral wind wave evolution models. This
new perspective is based on our calculations of two-dimensional
nonlinear wave groups, combined with laboratory and field
observations.
Our effort is aimed at facilitating the delivery of more comprehensive
dangerous sea state warnings within existing environmental forecasting
networks.
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